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An Introduction To Currency Correlation
 
A brief overview of how different pairs of currencies will affect each other. How the activity of a single currency may affect movement in a pair.

Global currencies don't ride the trends in isolation. The apparent technical movement between two currencies in a pair may cause an effect in the behaviour of each separate currency. A third currency will also have some bearing on the rise or fall of a seemingly unrelated pair, in the view of an intermediate or beginning trader. Even seasoned trend cowboys may miss the odd significant event that results in a trade loss.

Technical analysis often comprises the bulk of the independent speculator's trade decisions, but some attention to fundamental news must be included for a complete overview of what is happening in the market at that particular moment. Neither weather, beetles, drought, hostile takeovers nor indicted CEO's have much real bearing on currency values, but the timing of the release of economic reports should determine if a trade is viable or not.

A rising tide raises all ships, but the trading ocean is made of waves, with deep troughs and high crests. A rising ship may have a tether to another that is dropping down the other side of the swell. As one currency in a trade pair rises, it may pull another currency up with it, or just the opposite. A drop in the Euro may allow an increase in the value of the GBP, which will certainly have an influence on the USD/GBP spread.

So when considering the merits of a good trade, also take into account the activity of each currency's most closely related cousin. When trading the Canadian dollar, you must certainly consider the relative movement, or lack thereof, in the US dollar. Canada's largest trading partner is the US, so fluctuations in the US economy may or may not have an effect on the Loonie, depending on the gravity of the news.

The UK maintained their own currency, the British Pound, but the economic business of Europe can still influence the directional trend of the Pound Sterling. The French Franc will also be swayed by the enterprise of the communal Euro. As you analyze your charts, take care to make a quick examination of any volatile activity in any similar currency.

The average day trader and individual speculator cannot possibly keep up with all the economic news released each day and still have time to trade and eat lunch, and old news has already shown itself in the charts. One must pay attention to important published economic developments, and generally avoid trading on report days. But the trend will indicate market sentiment, and great profits can be made by keeping the major focus on technical analysis.

International bankers and currency houses have developed complex mathematical models to track currency correlation, but these are beyond the scope of this article. In summary, just check how related currencies are trending, when preparing a trade. Another quick analytical tool for the traders' arsenal is always a good thing. May your winners run long.

Good Trading, Kelly Archibald.





Currency Trading News



Moneycontrol.com

Euro Traders' Patience Running Thin For Broken Greek Promises
TheStreet.com
By DailyFX 02/11/12 - 01:19 AM EST By John Kicklighter, Currency Strategist How long can we string this out? That is how we need to look at the euro's fundamental health. The Greek crisis (it's fair to refer to the situation as such considering ...
Euro Gains Against Majors Amid Greek Debt Impasse; Yen DeclinesBusinessWeek
FX OUTLOOK-Euro slides as market awaits word on Greek bailout dealReuters UK
Greek deal optimism a triumph of hope over experienceFX-MM
FXstreet.com
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FXstreet.com

Currency trading in London surges
Financial Times
By Alice Ross Foreign exchange trading in London, the world's currency hub, surged as worries over the eurozone crisis grew last autumn, figures released on Monday showed. Average daily turnover for trade in global currencies in the UK was just less ...
Currency Trade at a Record $977 Billion a Day in North America, Fed SaysBloomberg
Forex Trading Volume Drops for First Time Since 2009Wall Street Journal
Global forex volumes dip, up in N.AmericaReuters

all 16 news articles »

Globe and Mail

FX trading an attractive option
TODAYonline
If you are one of the millions for whom foreign currencies are simply for holiday spending, you may be surprised to learn that private investors are flocking to the foreign exchange (FX) market in ever-increasing numbers. A recent survey by the Bank of ...
Are you missing out on forex trading?Globe and Mail

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New York Times

UBS Gaining Market Share In Currency Trading
Fox Business
ZURICH -- As it is moving towards conducting more flow business on behalf of clients, UBS AG (UBS) is gaining market share in currency trading, Tom Naratil, chief financial officer at Switzerland's largest bank, said Tuesday.
Swiss central bank vice chairman sees economy slowing 'considerably' in 2012Washington Post

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US Dollar Surges Into Close – Start Of A New Uptrend?
TheStreet.com
The US currency has long been used as a safe-haven during times of strong market volatility. The short-term correlation between the US S&P 500 and Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index recently traded to record strength, and we expect the link will remain strong ...
Long Live the Dollar! Break of Key RSI Trendline Sends Index SoaringDailyFX

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